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20120926
20121004
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Search Results 0 to 21 of about 22 (some duplicates have been removed)
CSPAN
Oct 3, 2012 7:30am EDT
. >> someone who knew trevor when he was a lawyer for john mccain, agenda was a pretty important job, nothing like being a lawyer for stephen colbert. maybe one day i can say i work for comedy central, too. people will be impressed. i just want to give a brief overview. this is out to a graphic we ran in "time" magazine at the end of july this summer, trying our best at that moment in time to project that where the money would come from and what the differences would be in terms of the various sides. the point we're trying to make, one that there is a real difference in political money strategy that these campaigns are employing this cycle. the obama campaign is heavily reliant on small dollars, individual dollars, regular and money, that is contributions $2500 from individuals. the campaign has total control over it and can spend it as they want. the exception here is a priority u.s.a. which can barely see because of the chairs, which we are saying maybe would make 60 million, earlier they want to make 100 minute and had to pare that back. there just weren't a lot of wealthy liberal
CSPAN
Sep 25, 2012 11:00pm EDT
few points better than wind mccain ran in 2008 and he is doing no better at all among white college graduates. that is one reason why the state is at this point looking pretty favorable toward barack obama. he could carry it by as much as he did in 2008. and also, if you look at it geographically obama is doing very well in the columbus area, which is kind of the slim support where it counts. o.c. investors and a lot of other states. the grace to the pennsylvania which, again, if their romney team could have put pennsylvania in place it would have been the key to a lot of other things. but the problem for them now is that pennsylvania is looking very difficult for them. obama is barely running in eight or nine or ten. average margin. it's just not happening. again, it comes back to what appeared to be the big coke, that they could drive up the white working-class margins in that state. 2008, a 15-point of vantage for john mccain, but the polls coming out of pennsylvania again and again show is not doing any better than-15. so basically the state is looking very similarly in terms of
CSPAN
Sep 29, 2012 11:00pm EDT
that point* where they are retiring although it did not stop john mccain. how women politically age there was a gap between that generation and a new group coming up. also and nikki haley. she has managed south carolina barry well. the advantage of ethnicity bringing diversity to the republican party one could argue it needs diversity. >> we all looked at one another when bill asked the question. the pipeline is a little thin. susanna marty thence the governor of the mexico that we tend to reelect more governors and members of congress i think that is the pipeline very articulate -- particulate but give her six years and has potential. and elizabeth warren sheet is is elected there are a couple. we just need to get more women elected. research that has been done that says to make any kind of difference you need 25%. part of the culture comes as competition more women have the opportunity. because the women we profile in the book who were still in congress are not running again. the women are giving up hour don't see themselves to compromise. >> for various reasons with nrg being sea
CSPAN
Sep 27, 2012 6:00am EDT
actually be competitive in this race, mitt romney would have to get double john mccain's margin of 18 points among the white working class in this election. that's youth turnout doesn't change among minority's despite the shifts in eligible voters. if this does get realize, let's say minority vote share goes up by couple of points, 26% as was in 2008 to 28% in 2012, and again if the white college graduate and minority support stays about the same, it means mitt romney would have to get north of 40-point margin among white working-class voters to actually win the election, to win the popular vote. so let's take look at where we are now based on a reasonable came out. it's the gold standard for polls. a pew research center. no one else -- no offense to anyone else in the room who has april. they really do it right. it's pretty reliable stuff. they give you a lot of interesting demographic breaks tradition as among likely voters that obama is leading now by eight points. if you look at the average of the national polls as a bit high relative to the average. the average has been runnin
CSPAN
Oct 3, 2012 12:00pm EDT
to senator john mccain. i'm sure all of you see bill regularly on fox news sunday and the fox news channel. i actually met bill in 1981 when he was a very young assistant professor at the university of pennsylvania. has been great to see all the things that he has accomplished since that time. the question that i would like to pose for each of you, and i will start with governor huntsman, what does the 2012 election reveal about the respective leadership styles of obama and ronnie? >> probably not much. >> okay. well, this panel -- [laughter] >> see you later. >> you can extrapolate a few things from president obama's first term that might be instructive. he is not a manager. he is not -- he does not have a history of managing things. so you bring in a lot of good, well-trained, smart people, give them their tasks and try to lead a government. and in the case of the governor romney who has been a governor, a business guy cannot run the olympics. i think his attitude with the efficiency. i'm going to come in and look at running government like a business which sometimes is not the r
CSPAN
Oct 1, 2012 7:00am EDT
case where just a few years earlier, george w. bush had signed the mccain-feingold law or in just two years earlier, or more than two as i think, for years earlier the supreme court has affirmed the constitutionality of the mccain-feingold law. but in a story i tell at greater length in trenton, the conservative majority converted a relatively minor dispute over an obscure film put out by a nonprofit corporation into a complete rewriting of our campaign finance laws, based on the dual metaphors that corporations are people, and money is speech. and those two ideas are at the heart of citizens united, and they are the story -- and that decision is very much the story of the 2012 presidential and perhaps even more importantly, lower about race -- lower ballot raise. that brings us to the health care case you're now, there were some so-called experts and pundits who watched the oral argument of that case and said well, it's quite clear that the law is going to be overturned because of the questions. and in my defense -- [laughter] i would just like to say, you know, whatever, okay? [
CSPAN
Sep 30, 2012 12:00pm EDT
in american politics. if you look at the debates in 2008 between john mccain and brought obama, with mccain aesop is hobbled war, speaking about a war, no one was talking about it anymore. spoke in the language of the u.s. senate. it is very compliced in a complicated way. then you have this tall and confident man seemed to speak directly and connect with people. and now americans have a choice between those two people. and now we are seeing very much reduced efforts in the office. he has lost the ability to lead if he ever had it. and we have a tendency sometimes in america to took more people before they are ready. and then to make them once they are there, but ultimately, a kind of ruthlessness in regards to their character as well. i think this is going to be a very momentous year and i think this is going to be a year in which next year will be very difficult. and we really need to examine the entitlement state and the nature of the american political level. while we may be war abroad, we are changing things abroad. i think the world is going to look very different. warriors fro
CSPAN
Sep 25, 2012 8:00pm EDT
voters going up. the key state of virginia, among white working-class voters -- mccain carried this one in 2008. thirty-one or 32 points as they came back in 2008. to add to that, college graduate groups, obama lost by about 11 points in 2008 and he is basically about even among white college graduate voters in general. that makes it very difficult for romney to put together a coalition that can take this state. colorado has been a state that has been very close. obama has a three or four-point lead. quite a bit of demographic change. minority eligible voters down by three percentage points. the white working-class voters. they have gone down by three percentage points. again, it doesn't appear that romney 2008 among white college graduates, he is not making nearly enough progress. if you break it down geographically, it looks very similar to the data in 2008. finally, the poster child -- obama is running ahead, not merely as far as he did in 2,082,008. that is a very quick maybe it is time for me to step back and catch my breath and say why is this? what is going on? so the health
CSPAN
Sep 29, 2012 2:15pm EDT
john mccain could not win the presidency. a great american but allows a republican and a terrible senator. and i was sadly correct. not only was he a terrible candid in the middle of the crisis, probably even the best gadgets could not have survived. a financial crisis with an incumbent president that was been wrongly at the seat of george bush in the republican party when it goes back to democratic house important -- but nevertheless i wrote in that book that romney would make a great presidential nominee. i didn't know who the nominee would be. it's not a book about romney. i was proven remarkably impressionable by the 2007 book. the dean of the columbia school of journalism. the new yorkers national political reporter and always the go to guy for national political stories. the profile the in 2005 for the new yorker. it was a very nice piece. he told his liberal democratic leaders, the most influential conservative you ever heard of. okay. [laughter] that's okay, i guess. i don't really speak to the manhattan crowd, the your crowd. how many of you describe to the new yorker? i
CSPAN
Oct 2, 2012 5:00pm EDT
enough stories because you always want to look for the negative. >> senator mccain, it's become more political suicide. i'm trying up the district line so everyone agrees the only way you can get is to not be pure enough, nonliberal, not conservatives. the challenges facing their last election, a challenge from the raid. it does affect how you can behave in the senate to some degree. and we have seen that with both parties. so it seems to be getting worse and harder other than people making it easier. >> let me just make two points. one is let's not forget that 2009 and 2010, the democrats had majorities in both houses of congress. they were vetoproof purity of that stimulus package, obama cared, dodd-frank, the institution of the united states are too big -- are not too big to fail. so they had two years and they had majority for two years and they ran things through with all due respect. we were never consulted about obama cared. we were never consulted about the stimulus. we were never consulted about dodd-frank. we all have to work together between 2009 and 2010. amendment 2010 e
CSPAN
Oct 3, 2012 11:00pm EDT
served to john mccain. all of these t-bill regularly on fox news sunday in the fox news channel. i actually met ellen 1981 when he was a very young assistant professor at the university of pennsylvania. it's been great to see all the things he's accomplished since that time. so the question i would like to pose for each of you, and i'll start with governor huntsman. what does the 2012 election reveal about the respective leadership styles of obama and romney? >> probably not much. >> okay, what this panel -- >> see you later. >> you can extrapolate a few things from president obama's first term that might be instructive. he isn't a manager. he doesn't have a history of managing things, so you bring in a bout of good, well-trained, smart people, given their tasks and he tried to lead a government. in the case of governor romney, who has been a governor, who is a business guy, he has run the olympics. i think his attitude would be efficiency. i'm going to come in and looking a government like a business, which sometimes is not the right answer because government isn't a business. you
CSPAN
Sep 26, 2012 5:00pm EDT
white working-class would be the best group for ronny to make progress and mccain carried by 17 points in 2008. look at a breakout from the poles provided and we are not seeing any progress among these voters. we are not seeing a noticeably bigger margin among white working-class voters for the gop candidate. is not happening and that is being translated as a similar margin placed like the i 4 corridor in the center of the state where tampa and orlando are and the miami metro area. .. we see college graduate group that obama lost by about 11 points in 2008. facing the most polls he's physically about even. i think that makes it very difficult for romney to put together a coalition that can take the state. colorado has been fairly close so again obama mabey looks like a fairy or four-point lead on average read a lot of demographic change. you can see the minority eligible voters have gone up by three percentage points and working-class voters in 2008 have gone down by three percentage points. again it doesn't appear that romney is able to turn the demographics tie in his favor. he's not
CSPAN
Oct 3, 2012 8:00pm EDT
mccain opted in for the finance system. one of the untold stories in the 2008 races i don't think it would change the outcome mccain was outspend. the decision for the obama campaign to go outside and mccain to stay inside was not a good decision in term what it meant ultimately at the end of the day. he was outsend spend. i don't think anybody is going to do it again. unless it changes dramatically. >> they have it on local. >> you had to take the public matching funds. i didn't in '09. >> in new jersey for governor we have matching funds. we don't have it on the legislative level. we have a couple of pilot programs on legislative level. you have to raise a certain amount. on the gubernatorial amount this certain threshold $350 ,000 the state will match you two for one. you have a million dollars. so it actually makes, you know, a candidate if you can reach kind of a certain thresh hold of seriousness in term to demonstrate you can become viable very quick. you saw that in the gubernatorial primary in 2009 and the chris y christy general election. [inaudible] which is a lot more tha
CSPAN
Oct 1, 2012 8:30pm EDT
know, in 2008, one-on-one, 47% of the people didn't vote for me. they voted for john mccain. and that's the way democracy works. and i sat on election night, i said to the people who didn't vote for me, especially, i said i may not have won your vote, but i heard your voice. i need your help, and i'm going to fight for you, too. [cheers] [applause] i'm going to work on your behalf, too. [cheers] [applause] because i'm not interested in creating democratic jobs or republican jobs. i'm interested in creating american jobs. .. that we all share. those are values that belong to all of us. and now we have to reclaim them. if you have willing to work hard, harder than you did four years ago. if you are willing to knock on doors and make phone calls. we reclaim the values. we can rally around a new economic patriotism. we can rebuild this economy. we can strengthen the middle cladle. we with keep moving forward. we're not going backwards. we're not as divided as our politics suggest. i still believe we have more common than anybody understand. i believe in you and i ask you to keep on b
CSPAN
Oct 4, 2012 9:00am EDT
senator mccain by seven points. now, part of it was you know, 66% of the vote among 18 to 29-year-olds, 67% of the vote among latino voters. african-american was like 95-4 or something like that and the poll has shown the african-american vote is rocksolid for the president and the numbers extremely high so lets let's just sort of assume rough parity with last time. but the question was, as you suggested the turnout levels among latino voters and i would add young voters very much questionable and when i have gone on campuses i cannot find a pulse. you saw a registration table registered to voters. there might be a couple of people behind the table to register people and nobody in front of the table registering. there's there is just no pulse there. is it safe to say that a seven-point margin becomes you know, six or five or four? sort of taking turnout down among these two groups? just by necessity this was going to be a lot closer. >> look in 2008, the president had to win this back. a seven-point margin for a democrat is big. that is a historic margin for a democrat. no, think
CSPAN
Oct 2, 2012 12:00pm EDT
calls post-partisanship including senator john mccain, former senator tom daschle and former governor bill richardson, charlie crist and tom ridge. [applause] >> we all breathe the same error. ladies and gentlemen, please welcome the chairman of the institute and the holder of the governor down major professor of state and global policy of the u.s. see governor arnold schwarzenegger. [applause] >> thank very much for the fantastic introduction. it's exactly the way i wrote. [laughter] thank you very much for your partnership. one thing i want to correct is that i did not win miss universe bikinis, waxing, all of those things, i did not win that competition. no, it's miss universe. anyway i want to say i am about being in partnership with usc and from the beginning to the strong in his creativity and vision. his extraordinary vision and commitment to usc and to the shore is a maker institute is unmatched. to be honest with you it is the only one that speaks the accent. it's the big advantage we have so looking for to appearing together over and over. all over the world and lea
CSPAN
Oct 2, 2012 9:00am EDT
. if we compare pro-mccain to probe ronde, they went from 41% to 72% this cycle. next slide, please. >> and this is also true as it was in 2010 that the interest groups are perhaps not surprising the most negative employers in election. they are not the most negative. that is reserved for the party sponsored ads but there are many -- just not that many on your. candidates are roughly dividing their time between positive and contrast ads but erring more attack ads than anything else. any other important thing is if we look at the comparison, next slide, please. that we can attribute the rise in negativity solely to interest groups. certainly it's largely in part due to interest groups. that's in part because of interest groups are starting to use few contest bots as well but it's also the case of silicate candidate sponsored areas that. attack ads that increase from 2008. so it's not solely due to the interest groups that we are seeing rising level of negativity. next slide. we also look at the extent to which an ad focuses primary on policy, personal characteristics or some mix of b
CSPAN
Sep 27, 2012 5:00pm EDT
in 2008 and then senator obama and senator mccain came. when the president took office in a very busy time, he would still come here every year, and i think it is in no small measure because he basically started his life as an ngo. [applause] that is what he was. as a community organizer. and then he picked the secretary of state who was a walking ngo. [laughter] [applause] so i'm very grateful that he made time to join us here today to give a very important speech at the united nations earlier about all the things going on in the world and i am particularly appreciative of what he came here to speak about today so mr. president the podium is yours and thanks for coming, again. [applause] >> thank you. thank you so much. thank you. [applause] thank you very much. thank you, guys. thank you. appreciate it. everybody have a seat. well good afternoon everybody. and president clinton thank you for your very kind introduction of the last -- i must admit i really did like the speech a few weeks weeks ago a little bit better. [laughter] afterward somebody tweeted that, somebody needs to
CSPAN
Oct 4, 2012 6:00am EDT
] >> one of the untold stories in the 2008 race, senator mccain was dramatically outspent and every target state. the decision for the obama campaign and mccain to stay inside was not a good decision in terms of to what extent at the end of it because he was about the outspent the to i've nobody will ever do that again. unless it changes dramatically in terms of the amount. >> you have to take the public matched funds and i didn't. >> in new jersey we have matching funds. we've had a couple of pilot pro can on the legislative level. on the gubernatorial level there is matching funds in new jersey that if you raise it certain threshold, $350,000, the state will match you two for one. if you raise that amount, basically you can have $1 million. it makes a candidate if you can reach kind of a certain threshold of citizens in terms of the building to demonstrate you have enough support, you can become viable very quick. he saw in the gubernatorial primary in 2009 and even in the christie general election in 2009. christie adds ran around $11 million which is a lot more than most campaig
CSPAN
Sep 26, 2012 12:00pm EDT
have to get double john mccain's margin of 18 points among the white working class and go up to 36 points. it doesn't change among minorities despite shifts eligible voters are seeing. if this gets realized minority vote share goes up a couple points from 26% in 2008 to 28% in 2012 and again the minority support stays the same it means mitt romney would have to get a 40 point margin of white working-class voters to win the election and popular vote. let's take a look at where we are based on a recent poll that came out and set the gold standard at the pew research center fold off and they do it right and have a 3,000 persons sampled. it is reliable and they give you a lot of interesting demographic breaks. this shows among likely voters that obama is leading by eight points. if you look at averages in the national polls is a bit high relative to the average which is 4 points. if you look at polls that do it right and call cellphones and not just robot called their up by five points. this is the distance of the averages and similar to ron brown in the heartland monitor which we will
CSPAN
Oct 4, 2012 12:00pm EDT
to people in prince william county and republicans who voted for john mccain four years ago. i don't know i'm going to do it doesn't like this is going to win it's not necessarily wanting to vote for the loser. it does affect some voters. >> on the other hand, it's not so where earlier in the cycle you say they didn't have a chance i'm not the only one who likes him and maybe he can pull this out and we are curious and want to know what other -- we also want to be part of the conversation with people and know what other people are thinking and i am not sure i think that is such a bad thing and need to be put into isolation before we vote. >> one other element of it is that it is an easy way to inject drama today in something that's not going to happen for a month or six months down the line. it's also a little and this person -- >> to report the polls. >> it's pretty easy journalism but it's probably no worse than going to a speech and writing down what he says. >> it's part of it, you know, it's different than saying -- it's good information to have. as a journalist if you are looki
Search Results 0 to 21 of about 22 (some duplicates have been removed)